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Prediction Markets
Live data from Polymarket. Explore prediction markets relevant to macro themes and scenarios.
✦ Insights Summary
Explore
Dominant Economic Themes
Fed Rate Hike Risk Returns, Yields Near 5%
Oil Shock and Trade War Squeeze Global Supply Chains
AI Earnings Upcycle Sustains Tech Amid Broad Market Fear
Pipeline-generated prediction market signals matched to each macro theme and scenario.
How it works
Updated 10 Sept 2026, 04:48 pm
Fed Rate Hike Risk Returns, Yields Near 5%
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Yes
79.5%
probability · Polymarket
$8.8M
USD traded on this event
How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
5.1% is the highest rate where the odds exceed 50%
51.5%
probability · Polymarket
$347k
USD traded on this event
What will the median home value in the US be on September 30?
$419,000 is the highest price where the odds exceed 50%
58.5%
probability · Polymarket
$83k
USD traded on this event
Oil Shock and Trade War Squeeze Global Supply Chains
Crude Oil all time high by...?
No date yet exceeds 50% — highest is December 31 at 13.5%
Polymarket
$3.5M
USD traded on this event
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "European Union" before 2027?
No
93.5%
probability · Polymarket
$390k
USD traded on this event
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by...?
December 31 is the earliest date where probability exceeds 50%
68.5%
probability · Polymarket
$141k
USD traded on this event
AI Earnings Upcycle Sustains Tech Amid Broad Market Fear
No prediction markets found for this theme.
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